Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.388891 0.425684 0.464980 0.510164 0.560801 0.615930 0.680669
2025-11-16 0.330712 0.382560 0.441796 0.514894 0.603238 0.707271 0.840106
2025-11-23 0.292705 0.351096 0.420858 0.511166 0.626165 0.769329 0.963600
2025-11-30 0.268073 0.330992 0.408916 0.513811 0.653308 0.835319 1.095605
2025-12-07 0.244979 0.309700 0.392258 0.507057 0.665409 0.880483 1.202403
2025-12-14 0.226145 0.291791 0.377707 0.500642 0.675822 0.922517 1.307513
2025-12-21 0.206678 0.271257 0.357617 0.484210 0.669689 0.939184 1.375434
2025-12-28 0.198043 0.264591 0.355612 0.492496 0.699092 1.009575 1.532694
2026-01-04 0.189747 0.257647 0.352455 0.498437 0.724938 1.076325 1.691406
2026-01-11 0.181493 0.250098 0.347715 0.501322 0.745851 1.136689 1.846118
2026-01-18 0.173751 0.242718 0.342583 0.502955 0.764511 1.194609 2.003113
2026-01-25 0.167071 0.236432 0.338560 0.505797 0.785023 1.257098 2.175767
2026-02-01 0.157422 0.225271 0.326621 0.495416 0.783071 1.281432 2.281617
2026-02-08 0.152034 0.220284 0.323892 0.499774 0.806561 1.353171 2.490111
2026-02-15 0.145310 0.212825 0.316764 0.496182 0.815619 1.399123 2.652453
2026-02-22 0.140457 0.207997 0.313482 0.498732 0.835651 1.467347 2.871178
2026-03-01 0.134104 0.200444 0.305320 0.492219 0.838382 1.502171 3.021750
2026-03-08 0.128283 0.193448 0.297670 0.486031 0.841089 1.536986 3.177178
2026-03-15 0.121022 0.183776 0.285066 0.470179 0.824039 1.529868 3.233186
2026-03-22 0.118656 0.182015 0.285655 0.478173 0.853848 1.622903 3.545434
2026-03-29 0.116015 0.179656 0.285067 0.483904 0.879568 1.709922 3.857806
2026-04-05 0.113020 0.176551 0.283002 0.486687 0.899468 1.786263 4.155998
2026-04-12 0.109996 0.173252 0.280413 0.488262 0.916931 1.858936 4.457526